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2021-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% -
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 39 7-16 2-4 0-0 10 12 0 0 16 - -
LeBron James * 37 13-25 8-14 3-3 13 7 2 2 37 - -
Avery Bradley * 32 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Malik Monk * 31 6-9 2-5 1-1 3 1 1 0 15 - -
Dwight Howard * 16 2-3 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 2-11 1-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 2 7 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 4 - -
Darren Collison 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 6-18 3-10 5-5 4 2 1 1 20 - -
Ja Morant * 35 13-27 6-7 9-12 10 2 2 2 41 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 5-14 1-4 4-6 4 1 3 1 15 - -
Kyle Anderson * 29 3-5 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Steven Adams * 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 23 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 7 2 0 4 - -
Killian Tillie 20 0-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 11 1-2 0-0 4-4 0 0 2 1 6 - -
Shaq Buchanan 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter