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2021-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (131-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 33 10-23 2-7 4-4 3 11 0 0 26 - -
Cam Reddish * 31 5-14 1-3 3-4 1 2 2 1 14 - -
Chaundee Brown Jr. * 31 5-12 3-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Skylar Mays * 30 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 29 7-14 0-0 4-4 15 3 0 0 18 - -
Malcolm Hill 29 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 3 1 13 - -
Cameron Oliver 18 6-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 13 - -
Wes Iwundu 16 2-3 1-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Lance Stephenson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Cat Barber 6 0-2 0-0 0-4 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 8-18 0-0 4-4 4 8 0 1 20 - -
Coby White * 35 6-14 3-9 2-4 3 12 0 1 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 8-14 0-3 0-0 20 1 3 1 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 10-13 5-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 25 - -
Javonte Green * 23 4-5 0-0 6-8 2 3 2 1 14 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 23 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 6 3 0 4 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 19 6-7 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 2 14 - -
Matt Thomas 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Tyler Cook 12 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Devon Dotson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Mac McClung 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter