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2021-12-30

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (85-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 26 2-11 0-3 1-1 10 5 2 0 5 - -
RJ Barrett * 25 5-12 1-4 4-4 7 1 0 1 15 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 20 3-7 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 7 - -
Kemba Walker * 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Quentin Grimes * 12 0-5 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Immanuel Quickley 34 4-13 2-7 8-8 1 2 1 0 18 - -
Taj Gibson 27 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 4 4 - -
Alec Burks 26 12-17 5-8 5-5 4 2 3 0 34 - -
Miles McBride 24 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 21 3-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 9 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 43 9-19 6-13 8-8 9 3 0 1 32 - -
Luka Garza * 39 1-10 1-4 1-2 9 2 1 1 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 38 13-19 1-2 4-7 13 4 4 0 31 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. * 36 3-10 2-6 0-0 0 9 1 2 8 - -
Frank Jackson * 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 - -
Cassius Stanley 27 2-10 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Trayvon Palmer 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Justin Robinson 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Cheick Diallo 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter