Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 9-24 | 1-5 | 14-17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 19 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Paul Watson * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Gabriel Deck | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 25 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 21 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter