Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 6-16 | 5-14 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 8-20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter