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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% -
Margin 76.5% 23.5% -6.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Rubio * 36 10-25 3-7 4-4 13 9 2 2 27 - -
Dean Wade * 33 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 3 0 1 3 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 9-12 1-2 3-3 7 0 0 0 22 - -
Isaac Okoro * 30 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 6-15 0-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 14 - -
Kevin Love 32 7-14 7-12 3-4 4 3 1 0 24 - -
Denzel Valentine 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Justin Anderson 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Pangos 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Temple * 36 6-7 5-6 0-2 3 3 1 0 17 - -
Herbert Jones * 36 10-18 2-4 4-4 7 3 0 3 26 - -
Devonte' Graham * 32 5-12 1-6 7-9 5 5 0 1 18 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 4-11 1-2 6-8 10 2 0 1 15 - -
Gary Clark * 28 4-11 4-10 0-0 4 1 0 1 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 24 2-4 0-0 3-3 8 2 1 1 7 - -
Trey Murphy III 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Tomas Satoransky 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 - -
Jared Harper 7 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter