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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (88-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 5-20 1-5 2-3 15 2 0 1 13 11 -
Kemba Walker * 33 3-11 3-7 1-2 4 2 0 0 10 5 -
Mitchell Robinson * 32 7-8 0-0 0-2 18 0 2 1 14 27 -
RJ Barrett * 24 3-10 1-4 1-3 3 3 0 1 8 5 -
Evan Fournier * 24 5-14 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 3 -
Quentin Grimes 31 4-11 3-9 0-0 2 2 1 1 11 6 -
Alec Burks 16 2-4 2-2 1-4 2 2 0 0 7 7 -
Taj Gibson 15 3-4 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 7 9 -
Immanuel Quickley 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 6 6 -
Obi Toppin 10 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 10 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 40 8-23 4-16 0-0 4 1 1 0 20 3 -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 7-11 1-5 3-3 6 0 1 5 18 19 -
Patrick Beverley * 29 0-8 0-2 3-6 7 7 1 0 3 10 -
Nathan Knight * 25 3-8 0-1 2-3 7 2 0 1 8 10 -
Jordan McLaughlin * 23 4-10 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 9 5 -
Jaylen Nowell 29 5-14 1-7 0-0 4 6 1 1 11 9 -
Greg Monroe 22 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 4 0 3 7 17 -
Jake Layman 16 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Naz Reid 12 1-4 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 5 -
Josh Okogie 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter