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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (123-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 11-19 3-5 7-9 11 11 1 2 32 38 -
Malik Monk * 39 7-14 3-7 8-8 2 2 1 2 25 18 -
Russell Westbrook * 34 10-17 2-2 2-6 12 10 2 0 24 31 -
Stanley Johnson * 31 3-8 0-4 3-3 5 2 1 0 9 9 -
Avery Bradley * 30 6-13 2-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 14 7 -
Carmelo Anthony 27 9-15 4-8 2-2 9 0 1 2 24 21 -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 1-4 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 2 -
Darren Collison 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 38 8-16 4-9 4-5 2 4 2 0 24 16 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 34 8-17 5-9 1-2 5 9 1 1 22 21 -
Eric Gordon * 33 5-6 2-2 1-1 3 3 0 0 13 13 -
David Nwaba * 33 2-7 0-1 3-3 7 1 0 4 7 12 -
Christian Wood * 32 8-12 3-4 3-6 6 3 3 1 22 23 -
Josh Christopher 27 5-8 0-2 4-4 3 2 3 0 14 14 -
Armoni Brooks 25 3-9 2-8 3-3 2 2 1 0 11 7 -
Alperen Sengun 15 5-8 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 10 5 -

* = starter