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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matisse Thybulle * 36 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 7 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 2-11 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 3-12 0-1 13-14 12 10 2 1 19 - -
Seth Curry * 34 3-8 2-4 4-4 4 5 0 0 12 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 11-16 2-3 12-14 11 4 0 1 36 - -
Georges Niang 22 7-10 5-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 19 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 16 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Paul Reed 13 0-1 0-0 3-6 3 1 1 1 3 - -
Tyler Johnson 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 11-21 0-4 6-6 6 8 1 1 28 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 41 6-24 4-13 3-5 1 7 2 0 19 - -
Chris Boucher * 37 10-14 5-7 3-4 19 0 1 2 28 - -
Malachi Flynn * 32 2-12 2-8 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe * 31 4-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 29 3-6 2-4 1-1 0 3 1 0 9 - -
D.J. Wilson 13 2-3 0-1 5-6 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Daniel Oturu 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 - -
Tremont Waters 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter