Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (119-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 41 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 38 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 36 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 33 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 21 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| Craig Sword | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Isaiah Todd | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 36 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 9-17 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 12 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 35 | 9-19 | 5-7 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 22 | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter