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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -17 (110-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 8-13 1-3 1-2 4 10 1 0 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 31 8-14 2-5 3-5 2 3 1 0 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 10-19 1-4 7-10 6 6 0 1 28 - -
Bobby Portis * 28 7-9 5-5 0-0 7 1 0 1 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
George Hill 24 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 10 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 15 4-8 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 15 1-5 1-5 5-5 6 1 1 0 8 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 38 12-20 4-8 10-10 7 3 1 1 38 - -
Gary Harris * 37 4-10 2-6 3-4 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 6-14 2-7 5-6 10 1 3 0 19 - -
Robin Lopez * 23 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 4 0 1 9 - -
Hassani Gravett * 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 28 4-11 1-6 0-0 3 4 2 1 9 - -
Tim Frazier 20 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Admiral Schofield 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 10 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 1 7 - -
Freddie Gillespie 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter