Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -15 (117-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 12-21 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 24 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Carlik Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| George King | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 13-14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 26 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron McGriff | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarron Cumberland | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter