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2021-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 36 12-22 6-11 2-2 6 3 1 1 32 - -
John Konchar * 34 3-4 1-2 0-0 9 2 2 0 7 - -
Ja Morant * 33 14-25 3-5 2-4 4 4 2 0 33 - -
Steven Adams * 31 4-5 0-0 5-7 16 7 0 1 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 3-11 1-5 4-4 3 1 0 2 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 1 2 - -
Killian Tillie 18 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 10-20 3-6 7-9 2 4 2 2 30 - -
Cameron Johnson * 36 6-13 4-10 3-3 7 0 2 0 19 - -
Chris Paul * 35 4-13 0-3 5-5 6 13 3 0 13 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 5-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
JaVale McGee * 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Smith 29 4-10 2-4 5-6 9 0 1 0 15 - -
Cameron Payne 24 7-16 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Landry Shamet 13 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Elfrid Payton 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter