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2021-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (118-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 14-20 2-2 5-8 5 10 0 0 35 - -
Zach LaVine * 37 11-21 5-8 3-3 4 9 1 0 30 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 9-19 4-8 2-3 17 6 0 4 24 - -
Javonte Green * 29 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Coby White * 25 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 0 2 0 13 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 24 4-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 8 - -
Matt Thomas 19 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 18 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Tyler Cook 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 41 7-15 4-9 2-3 4 3 0 1 20 - -
Cam Reddish * 40 11-23 8-13 3-3 4 0 0 1 33 - -
Trae Young * 39 8-23 1-6 12-12 1 9 0 0 29 - -
Chaundee Brown Jr. * 30 1-7 0-3 2-2 9 0 2 0 4 - -
Clint Capela * 26 4-8 0-0 0-2 16 3 0 1 8 - -
Gorgui Dieng 21 5-7 2-3 0-0 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Skylar Mays 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Malcolm Hill 14 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Cat Barber 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Lance Stephenson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter