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2021-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% -
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +24 (123-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armoni Brooks * 35 4-15 3-14 0-0 3 4 0 0 11 - -
Christian Wood * 26 5-9 2-4 4-6 9 3 0 0 16 - -
David Nwaba * 24 4-9 1-1 0-0 8 1 2 0 9 - -
Eric Gordon * 23 4-9 3-6 5-5 1 3 0 0 16 - -
Josh Christopher * 20 2-7 1-4 1-2 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Trevelin Queen 28 6-13 4-10 1-1 6 0 4 0 17 - -
Daishen Nix 25 5-8 1-3 0-0 3 3 3 0 11 - -
Alperen Sengun 21 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 2 5 - -
Daniel Theis 21 3-8 0-2 0-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Usman Garuba 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Plumlee * 28 7-7 0-0 1-2 9 3 2 3 15 - -
Gordon Hayward * 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 27 10-17 7-12 0-0 4 5 1 0 27 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 27 6-12 2-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 16 - -
LaMelo Ball * 24 6-12 4-7 0-0 5 7 2 0 16 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 29 6-12 1-7 5-6 3 0 2 0 18 - -
Ish Smith 23 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 - -
Cody Martin 22 0-5 0-1 1-2 4 3 2 0 1 - -
Nick Richards 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
James Bouknight 5 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
JT Thor 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Kai Jones 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter