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2021-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.6% 45.4% -
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: LA Clippers -3 (100-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 37 9-24 1-3 7-7 22 8 2 2 26 - -
Will Barton * 35 7-18 2-9 1-1 4 3 2 0 17 - -
Monte Morris * 32 5-14 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 12 - -
Austin Rivers * 30 4-8 4-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Jeff Green * 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 4 - -
Davon Reed 26 6-8 3-4 0-1 2 1 1 1 15 - -
Facundo Campazzo 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 3 2 0 5 - -
Vlatko Cancar 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Bones Hyland 14 3-10 1-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
JaMychal Green 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terance Mann * 36 5-11 1-1 0-0 7 8 0 0 11 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 36 8-17 1-2 1-2 2 10 5 2 18 - -
Nicolas Batum * 29 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Ivica Zubac * 27 7-8 0-0 3-5 11 0 1 3 17 - -
Luke Kennard * 17 3-10 2-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 33 6-15 2-5 4-5 3 2 0 0 18 - -
Amir Coffey 23 4-8 1-4 0-0 9 1 2 0 9 - -
Serge Ibaka 19 4-6 1-2 1-2 6 3 0 1 10 - -
Keon Johnson 11 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Justise Winslow 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter