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2021-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (113-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 39 9-22 3-10 6-7 4 9 1 1 27 - -
Myles Turner * 35 9-18 0-4 1-2 5 2 1 2 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 5-17 0-1 4-6 16 5 2 0 14 - -
Chris Duarte * 33 7-14 2-4 0-2 5 1 2 0 16 - -
Justin Holiday * 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 10 - -
Torrey Craig 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 18 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 9-20 1-1 5-7 3 3 2 0 24 - -
Coby White * 33 3-10 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 7-10 2-3 0-0 15 3 2 2 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 12-18 5-9 3-5 4 5 1 1 32 - -
Javonte Green * 28 4-4 1-1 4-4 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 23 3-4 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Matt Thomas 19 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Tyler Cook 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter