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2021-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 โœ“ (32.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +35 (144-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 41 5-16 1-6 12-14 8 1 1 0 23 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 39 13-19 1-2 1-5 3 2 3 1 28 - -
Frank Jackson * 33 7-19 2-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 17 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. * 31 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 6 1 2 0 - -
Luka Garza * 20 7-14 2-5 4-5 6 2 0 0 20 - -
Cassius Stanley 19 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 1 9 - -
Cheick Diallo 18 2-5 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Jamorko Pickett 18 0-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 17 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 1 3 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keita Bates-Diop * 25 3-4 0-0 4-5 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Keldon Johnson * 23 10-12 4-4 3-3 5 1 0 0 27 - -
Doug McDermott * 19 5-10 3-5 0-2 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 15 7-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Derrick White * 15 1-3 0-0 5-5 3 10 1 0 7 - -
Bryn Forbes 22 2-10 0-2 5-5 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Tre Jones 21 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 11 0 0 8 - -
Devin Vassell 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 2 3 1 8 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 19 2-6 0-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Jock Landale 16 7-9 1-1 3-4 5 3 0 1 18 - -
Joshua Primo 15 3-7 3-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Drew Eubanks 12 2-4 0-1 4-7 7 0 0 1 8 - -
Joe Wieskamp 7 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 3 - -
Devontae Cacok 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter