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2021-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (38.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +45 (144-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yuta Watanabe * 37 11-20 2-5 2-3 13 1 1 1 26 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 35 4-12 1-4 1-2 5 4 2 1 10 - -
D.J. Wilson * 33 6-8 0-1 3-4 8 4 4 1 15 - -
Chris Boucher * 28 6-19 2-10 7-9 5 2 1 0 21 - -
Dalano Banton * 23 3-12 1-5 0-0 3 6 0 0 7 - -
Tremont Waters 34 3-11 2-8 0-0 3 6 3 0 8 - -
Juwan Morgan 27 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Oturu 19 2-4 0-1 3-5 2 0 0 0 7 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 29 9-17 3-9 1-1 4 8 2 0 22 - -
Dean Wade * 28 7-12 2-5 1-1 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Ricky Rubio * 23 6-13 2-6 2-2 2 6 3 0 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 22 9-13 1-3 1-1 7 1 0 1 20 - -
Kevin Love * 18 7-12 6-9 2-2 9 2 1 0 22 - -
Justin Anderson 30 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 7 - -
Denzel Valentine 26 6-11 5-9 0-0 9 2 2 0 17 - -
Kevin Pangos 16 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 6 1 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 12 1-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 1 4 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 4 - -
Tacko Fall 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 3 - -
Trevon Scott 9 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -

* = starter