Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (93-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Hassani Gravett * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 31 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aleem Ford | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Freddie Gillespie | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 29 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter