Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +4 (120-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 10-25 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 11-13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown * | 28 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| George King | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 11-26 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 25 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 26 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter