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2021-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 10-27 5-16 8-9 4 6 3 1 33 20 -
Draymond Green * 34 3-7 2-4 0-0 8 10 3 3 8 25 -
Gary Payton II * 30 6-9 2-4 0-0 8 2 1 0 14 16 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 29 8-13 3-7 0-0 6 3 1 0 19 16 -
Kevon Looney * 27 3-7 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 1 8 14 -
Jonathan Kuminga 20 3-4 1-1 5-6 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Nemanja Bjelica 19 3-8 1-5 3-4 2 2 0 0 10 6 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 4 9 -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 6 6 -
Chris Chiozza 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 40 5-19 1-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 13 2 -
Mikal Bridges * 37 6-10 3-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 17 15 -
Chris Paul * 37 7-14 2-4 5-5 6 8 0 0 21 21 -
Jae Crowder * 31 3-11 2-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 2 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 8-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 18 18 -
Cameron Johnson 20 3-6 2-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 11 9 -
Cameron Payne 18 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 4 -
JaVale McGee 12 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 8 13 -
Landry Shamet 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 4 -

* = starter