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2021-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 40 6-14 3-10 4-4 2 7 1 0 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 39 7-20 4-10 7-8 9 4 2 2 25 - -
Robert Williams III * 38 5-7 0-0 1-2 14 4 0 2 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 8-18 2-7 7-7 4 3 2 1 25 - -
Romeo Langford * 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 30 6-14 4-8 0-0 5 5 1 1 16 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 15 1-5 1-4 0-2 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Jabari Parker 12 3-7 2-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 9 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 8-14 1-4 0-0 5 3 4 1 17 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 5-13 4-9 3-4 3 7 1 1 17 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 13-23 0-2 10-15 12 5 0 2 36 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 - -
DeMarcus Cousins * 17 4-10 0-2 1-3 8 0 0 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 22 6-13 2-4 2-2 10 4 0 0 16 - -
George Hill 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Wesley Matthews 17 3-4 2-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter