Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -28 (110-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 3-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 26 | 11-11 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 24 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talen Horton-Tucker * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 12-20 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 15-26 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 36 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jemerrio Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter