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2021-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 34 6-15 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 13 - -
Ja Morant * 31 6-15 0-4 9-10 3 6 1 0 21 - -
Desmond Bane * 30 4-11 3-7 1-1 2 1 1 1 12 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 6-12 1-3 7-9 5 2 1 1 20 - -
Steven Adams * 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 25 8-13 1-4 3-4 9 1 2 1 20 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 4-10 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 2 8 - -
Tyus Jones 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
John Konchar 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 13-22 8-14 12-12 4 4 2 0 46 - -
Draymond Green * 33 4-8 0-3 0-0 5 9 2 3 8 - -
Gary Payton II * 33 9-16 4-7 0-2 2 1 0 1 22 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 30 3-7 2-4 0-0 9 3 1 3 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 6 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 26 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 6 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 22 3-8 3-6 0-2 7 2 0 1 9 - -
Chris Chiozza 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 10 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter