Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 12-23 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 24 | 7-7 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 17 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter