Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 29 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 32 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 27 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 26 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 13-34 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 33 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter