Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (95-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 27 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 12 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Carlik Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| George King | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter