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2021-12-24

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% -
Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (104-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 37 7-10 4-5 4-4 5 5 1 0 22 - -
Brandon Ingram * 36 12-23 0-1 7-7 6 4 0 0 31 - -
Devonte' Graham * 33 5-17 5-14 5-5 5 6 0 0 20 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 32 1-11 0-0 1-2 16 0 1 0 3 - -
Herbert Jones * 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Garrett Temple 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 15 3-6 1-2 2-3 0 3 1 1 9 - -
Jaxson Hayes 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 14 2-6 1-4 1-1 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Gary Clark 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 36 7-16 0-6 8-9 5 11 1 1 22 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 7-16 1-4 5-6 5 1 0 2 20 - -
Gary Harris * 32 9-14 4-5 0-0 0 0 1 1 22 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 5-12 1-3 6-6 12 3 2 3 17 - -
Chuma Okeke * 16 3-9 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Admiral Schofield 25 3-3 2-2 0-0 5 2 1 2 8 - -
Hassani Gravett 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Freddie Gillespie 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 - -
Tim Frazier 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Aleem Ford 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
BJ Johnson 7 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Robin Lopez 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter