Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 25 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 37 | 14-18 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 22 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter