Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +14 (108-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 21 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 10-24 | 0-7 | 7-7 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 16 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter