Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +20 (126-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-6 | 8-11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 14 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 30 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 3-13 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 30 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora * | 26 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 20 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter