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2021-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 11-22 2-8 4-4 2 6 3 0 28 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 2-12 0-5 3-3 9 0 0 1 7 - -
Ricky Rubio * 30 2-12 1-5 3-4 5 6 3 0 8 - -
Dean Wade * 23 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Tacko Fall * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 4 - -
Cedi Osman 30 5-14 1-7 2-2 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Denzel Valentine 26 3-6 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 22 6-13 1-5 5-7 12 3 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Pangos 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Trevon Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Anderson 1 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 6-19 2-8 4-4 9 5 2 1 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 12-22 5-10 5-5 6 3 1 1 34 - -
Robert Williams III * 34 10-12 0-0 1-2 11 7 2 2 21 - -
Marcus Smart * 31 1-7 1-4 1-2 2 4 3 0 4 - -
Romeo Langford * 30 5-8 1-3 0-1 9 0 2 1 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Schroder 18 1-11 0-1 1-2 1 4 1 0 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Enes Freedom 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Joe Johnson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Miles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Jackson 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter