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2021-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (98-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 10-24 1-6 4-5 4 1 1 2 25 - -
Robin Lopez * 31 5-10 0-1 0-0 5 11 1 1 10 - -
Chuma Okeke * 30 5-14 2-11 0-0 5 1 6 0 12 - -
Gary Harris * 30 2-9 2-7 11-11 2 4 2 0 17 - -
Hassani Gravett * 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 8 - -
Aleem Ford 21 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Tim Frazier 20 0-2 0-0 1-4 1 4 1 0 1 - -
BJ Johnson 16 6-7 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Freddie Gillespie 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 5 - -
Admiral Schofield 12 3-3 2-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 8 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Reddish * 42 11-23 6-10 6-8 4 4 0 2 34 - -
John Collins * 40 9-17 3-5 7-8 12 2 0 2 28 - -
Delon Wright * 38 4-8 1-2 0-0 7 4 2 0 9 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 22 3-8 1-4 1-1 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Skylar Mays * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Lance Stephenson 22 0-4 0-1 1-2 8 5 0 0 1 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 21 2-9 1-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 2-3 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 3 8 - -
Sharife Cooper 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Johnson 10 1-3 0-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter