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2021-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.0% 27.0% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% -
Points Off/Def 65.2% 34.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -18 (90-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 34 5-17 0-5 4-5 5 1 1 2 14 - -
Devin Booker * 31 8-16 6-11 2-2 9 7 1 0 24 - -
Chris Paul * 28 5-8 0-2 1-1 3 9 1 0 11 - -
Jae Crowder * 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 9-11 0-0 1-1 11 2 2 0 19 - -
Cameron Johnson 25 5-11 4-8 0-0 8 1 2 0 14 - -
Cameron Payne 22 2-13 1-7 5-5 5 5 3 0 10 - -
Landry Shamet 21 1-5 0-3 1-1 0 1 1 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 10 - -
Jalen Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 36 10-20 0-2 2-4 10 5 3 0 22 - -
LeBron James * 34 13-19 2-5 6-6 7 2 2 0 34 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 31 1-13 0-8 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Wayne Ellington * 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 1 - -
Isaiah Thomas 25 1-11 0-6 1-2 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Rajon Rondo 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 - -
Trevor Ariza 20 4-4 3-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 12 - -
Carmelo Anthony 15 2-7 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Jay Huff 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Mason Jones 3 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Jemerrio Jones 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter