Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 35 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 4-18 | 1-11 | 5-5 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 24 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 40 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaQuori McLaughlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter