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2021-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +14 (111-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 41 6-14 2-5 2-3 4 2 1 1 16 - -
Damian Lillard * 39 13-24 6-11 7-8 2 7 1 0 39 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 32 6-10 0-0 5-8 5 4 2 1 17 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 28 4-5 2-3 0-0 6 2 4 0 10 - -
Tony Snell * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Anfernee Simons 30 1-9 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Robert Covington 30 3-7 1-5 0-0 5 2 2 1 7 - -
Ben McLemore 13 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Trendon Watford 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 40 7-10 1-4 5-5 5 5 3 1 20 - -
Brandon Ingram * 37 12-22 2-7 2-5 8 8 0 0 28 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 4-10 0-2 2-2 16 1 0 1 10 - -
Devonte' Graham * 28 3-7 2-6 2-2 2 5 1 0 10 - -
Herbert Jones * 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25 10-16 6-9 1-1 3 4 0 0 27 - -
Willy Hernangomez 17 5-6 0-1 3-3 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Trey Murphy III 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tomas Satoransky 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter