Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +29 (125-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 30 | 4-15 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 22 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 23 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 18 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 15 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 36 | 7-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 10-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 23 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 21 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter