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2021-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (113-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 41 8-18 2-4 6-7 4 11 3 0 24 - -
Buddy Hield * 39 6-15 6-13 0-0 5 2 4 0 18 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 6-11 4-7 3-5 6 3 0 0 19 - -
Chimezie Metu * 34 7-12 0-3 2-2 6 3 1 1 16 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 5-12 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 0 10 - -
Maurice Harkless 25 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Damian Jones 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 5 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin Robinson 4 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Robert Woodard II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 13-27 4-12 0-1 3 4 0 2 30 - -
Draymond Green * 33 7-11 1-2 1-2 11 10 2 2 16 - -
Damion Lee * 30 7-8 4-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 18 - -
Kevon Looney * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 29 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 4 12 - -
Andre Iguodala 24 3-5 2-4 2-2 1 6 1 0 10 - -
Gary Payton II 18 5-9 0-1 2-3 6 0 3 0 12 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 16 2-4 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 - -
Chris Chiozza 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter