Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 23 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 9-23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 21 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter