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2021-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +15 (133-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armoni Brooks * 32 6-13 3-9 0-0 0 4 2 1 15 - -
Christian Wood * 29 8-14 1-3 6-9 11 1 0 0 23 - -
Eric Gordon * 27 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 10 - -
Garrison Mathews * 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 22 7-13 1-4 1-3 5 6 0 0 16 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 24 6-7 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 1 15 - -
Alperen Sengun 19 3-5 1-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Josh Christopher 19 3-5 0-1 4-4 3 2 0 1 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 17 2-6 1-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
David Nwaba 15 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Usman Garuba 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trevelin Queen 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 34 6-12 4-9 3-3 5 8 5 1 19 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 11-18 0-0 4-4 3 6 0 0 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 8-18 2-8 0-0 6 4 0 2 18 - -
Javonte Green * 26 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Coby White 31 7-15 5-9 5-5 5 2 0 0 24 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 29 6-10 4-6 0-0 5 1 0 1 16 - -
Tyler Cook 16 2-3 0-0 7-8 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Devon Dotson 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 5 - -
Tony Bradley 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 1 8 - -
Marko Simonovic 2 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter