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2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (97-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 36 5-14 1-6 4-5 12 5 0 0 15 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 5-14 1-3 0-0 7 5 0 1 11 - -
Chuma Okeke * 30 4-10 2-5 0-0 11 2 1 0 10 - -
Jalen Suggs * 29 4-16 1-5 6-6 6 7 1 1 15 - -
Mo Bamba * 24 5-9 1-3 3-3 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Gary Harris 26 3-9 3-7 2-2 0 3 1 0 11 - -
R.J. Hampton 24 4-11 2-6 1-1 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Robin Lopez 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Admiral Schofield 8 2-6 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 4 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 13-20 2-3 6-8 14 2 0 0 34 - -
Malachi Flynn * 38 7-14 4-7 2-4 3 8 1 1 20 - -
Scottie Barnes * 37 4-15 1-5 1-1 5 4 0 2 10 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 26 2-12 0-9 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Khem Birch * 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Precious Achiuwa 22 4-12 2-4 1-2 6 1 0 2 11 - -
Chris Boucher 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 9 0 0 1 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 - -
Dalano Banton 0 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Justin Champagnie 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Bonga 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter