Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 10-19 | 4-13 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 16 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaQuori McLaughlin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 30 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 18 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter