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2022-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 (26.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +24 (131-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 29 7-21 1-4 3-5 1 8 1 1 18 - -
Moses Brown * 26 5-7 0-0 5-6 13 0 0 1 15 - -
Isaac Okoro * 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Caris LeVert * 24 4-9 0-1 1-1 5 1 2 1 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 19 3-8 1-4 1-1 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 27 7-10 3-6 4-6 6 4 0 1 21 - -
Lamar Stevens 26 2-6 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Love 21 3-11 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Goodwin 18 4-8 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Dylan Windler 16 2-7 0-5 1-1 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Ed Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 30 7-12 5-6 4-4 2 2 2 0 23 - -
Trae Young * 28 9-17 4-9 8-8 2 9 0 0 30 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 27 3-5 1-2 5-5 4 2 1 0 12 - -
Clint Capela * 23 5-9 0-0 2-5 14 2 2 3 12 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 20 2-10 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 6-6 0-0 5-6 12 1 0 1 17 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 4-12 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Delon Wright 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Kevin Knox II 7 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 6 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Skylar Mays 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter