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2021-12-19

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 78.0% 22.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 35 11-17 0-0 3-4 7 9 1 0 25 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 2-10 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 2 4 - -
Keldon Johnson * 31 5-14 2-5 4-4 11 1 2 0 16 - -
Devin Vassell * 27 5-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Derrick White * 24 2-8 0-3 1-1 1 2 1 1 5 - -
Bryn Forbes 26 7-12 4-8 0-0 1 0 1 1 18 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 25 8-16 3-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 10 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 7 - -
Tre Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Jock Landale 10 1-2 1-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 40 4-11 1-3 5-6 7 3 0 0 14 - -
Buddy Hield * 39 10-18 7-9 2-2 3 4 1 0 29 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 37 12-19 3-5 0-0 4 11 2 0 27 - -
Chimezie Metu * 31 2-8 0-3 5-6 6 1 4 0 9 - -
Tristan Thompson * 28 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 8 - -
Maurice Harkless 32 2-3 0-1 0-1 2 1 3 0 4 - -
Damian Jones 19 9-15 2-2 3-3 8 1 0 2 23 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 8 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Justin Robinson 2 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter