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2021-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - ✗
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 ✗ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% - ✗
Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 16.0% 84.0% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (100-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 9-19 3-9 11-12 5 5 0 0 32 - -
Nassir Little * 35 4-8 0-2 4-5 9 3 1 2 12 - -
Norman Powell * 34 10-16 5-8 3-4 3 4 0 1 28 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 33 4-10 0-1 1-2 11 1 0 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 11 2 2 2 2 - -
Robert Covington 33 5-7 3-5 0-0 8 0 1 4 13 - -
Anfernee Simons 20 2-9 0-4 5-5 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Ben McLemore 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 35 5-8 0-0 3-3 9 5 3 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 34 12-25 4-10 9-9 3 3 1 0 37 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 4-12 1-8 0-0 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 2-8 1-4 0-0 0 5 1 0 5 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 20 3-6 0-2 5-6 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 27 5-14 0-1 1-3 4 1 4 1 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 3-10 2-5 1-2 5 4 2 1 9 - -
John Konchar 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 - -
Killian Tillie 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter