Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 42 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 11-16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 33 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 22 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter