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2021-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 11-21 1-7 8-11 14 6 1 2 31 - -
Russell Westbrook * 38 9-19 0-2 2-6 9 8 1 2 20 - -
Wayne Ellington * 35 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 32 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 20 4-5 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Carmelo Anthony 29 7-17 5-12 2-2 5 1 2 2 21 - -
Rajon Rondo 23 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 4 1 1 5 - -
Trevor Ariza 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Chaundee Brown Jr. 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 7-15 3-9 2-2 4 4 1 1 19 - -
Alex Caruso * 37 6-11 3-5 2-4 9 2 1 0 17 - -
Javonte Green * 34 3-9 1-2 2-2 6 2 1 2 9 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 11-24 0-0 16-17 4 6 1 0 38 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 8-17 3-6 0-0 13 2 1 0 19 - -
Coby White 24 2-7 0-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 17 1-4 0-3 0-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Cook 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter