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2021-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (28.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -29 (90-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 32 10-13 2-4 0-0 4 6 1 0 22 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 3-14 0-7 2-3 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 6-9 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 14 - -
Dean Wade * 22 3-7 3-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens * 11 3-5 1-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Ricky Rubio 29 6-12 2-6 1-1 5 10 3 1 15 - -
Cedi Osman 27 8-12 5-9 2-2 5 4 1 0 23 - -
Kevin Love 23 4-10 2-8 5-5 7 4 1 0 15 - -
Denzel Valentine 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Ed Davis 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 - -
Dylan Windler 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Pangos 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javonte Smart * 44 2-14 0-5 0-0 3 4 1 2 4 - -
Jordan Nwora * 42 11-21 4-8 2-2 11 4 0 0 28 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili * 42 6-13 4-9 1-2 2 1 1 1 17 - -
DeMarcus Cousins * 27 4-11 2-6 2-2 12 1 5 1 12 - -
George Hill * 21 7-11 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 25 3-6 1-2 0-2 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 1-6 0-2 1-1 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Semi Ojeleye 17 1-7 1-4 2-2 7 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter