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2021-12-19

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (114-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 42 13-24 4-10 2-2 5 3 2 1 32 - -
Alec Burks * 41 5-9 3-6 6-7 6 4 1 0 19 - -
Julius Randle * 40 6-19 1-7 7-8 9 7 0 1 20 - -
Kemba Walker * 37 8-20 5-11 8-10 6 3 0 0 29 - -
Nerlens Noel * 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 3 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 21 1-2 0-0 1-3 8 0 2 0 3 - -
Taj Gibson 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -
Wayne Selden 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 9-24 3-13 4-4 9 2 0 0 25 - -
Marcus Smart * 33 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 4 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 8-21 5-13 2-4 4 5 2 0 23 - -
Robert Williams III * 29 6-8 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 1 15 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 26 0-5 0-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 - -
Josh Richardson 32 9-14 5-7 4-5 5 4 3 0 27 - -
Payton Pritchard 28 6-10 4-7 0-0 3 3 0 1 16 - -
Enes Freedom 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 4 - -

* = starter